Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 102.811888 113.960005 125.310875 137.703499 150.823423 164.271904 179.071076
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 85.075060 101.249699 118.402478 137.828408 159.102369 181.584265 207.031764
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 73.206547 92.049598 112.655807 136.620497 163.491958 192.479116 225.900921
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 65.904219 86.883548 110.429064 138.412612 170.384525 205.427874 246.401985
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 60.346014 83.047837 109.123575 140.703395 177.362652 218.079610 266.235367
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 53.784601 77.415418 105.212154 139.516997 179.965139 225.466980 279.868771
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 47.233968 71.253785 100.208276 136.622939 180.219642 229.869577 289.845386
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 45.009172 70.294809 101.323348 140.874174 188.733730 243.701433 310.568071
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.475470 68.719983 101.506589 143.854789 195.632804 255.585267 329.002989
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.328022 64.722587 98.409979 142.601040 197.281217 261.181556 340.023693
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.592159 61.009399 95.454608 141.328901 198.746640 266.436557 350.545316
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.114356 58.856571 94.380473 142.305500 202.870148 274.790734 364.675888
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 29.567254 56.471034 92.920757 142.757570 206.361667 282.449491 378.098086
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 27.437969 54.546825 91.973386 143.792495 210.531878 290.910134 392.488054
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 24.677068 51.472439 89.298149 142.435253 211.585932 295.503001 402.182099
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 23.197656 50.250819 89.104034 144.289193 216.665565 304.993293 417.769560
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 21.987057 49.361969 89.314303 146.637181 222.349428 315.218042 434.255257
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 19.812065 46.754230 86.952834 145.420431 223.373318 319.632454 443.647972
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 17.338993 43.439474 83.405608 142.451237 222.014830 321.001068 449.255577
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 17.001248 43.751325 85.183950 146.812591 230.235396 334.353742 469.581708
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 16.350239 43.462690 86.035623 149.869645 236.739791 345.563853 487.297939
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 14.681642 41.216304 83.837963 148.583818 237.454910 349.448219 495.957858
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 13.144778 39.068130 81.686567 147.279019 238.080089 353.172934 504.388643